FNUS73 KEAX 051521
FWSEAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 29 SOUTH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
921 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT IGNITION TIME...INCREASING
IN SPEED THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO FAVORABLE LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON WITH DEEPER
MIXING AIDING IN SMOKE DISPERSION. SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAINS BRISK AND
GUSTY WELL INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO AROUND 3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   3   5   7   10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............45  48  51  53  55  55  54
RH..............45  39  36  34  33  32  35
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  14  15  16  17  18
20 FT WIND GUST.13  15  18  20  23  24  25
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........10     10     11     11     11     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     47     45     45     47     45
RH..............40     53     61     65     63     69
20 FT WIND......S 17   S 16   S 16   S 17   S 16   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO
                    24 TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 37 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     12     14     17     24     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     50     58     66     72     73
RH..............72     65     54     44     38     37
20 FT WIND......S 16   S 18   S 23   S 26   S 26   S 25
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     30     30     35
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      5

$$
FORECASTER...OMALLEY
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120305.UNIT2.01/EAX