FNUS72 KJAX 060013
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FT MCCOY FIRE...MARION COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
713 PM EST MON MAR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1906 EST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHEAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY AND MOVE
OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL SET UP A LONG FETCH OF ONSHORE FLOW THAT
SHOULD MOISTEN UP SURFACE MOISTURE LEVELS ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ENOUGH LINGERING DRY AIR WILL COMBINE
WITH WINDY CONDITIONS TO TRIGGER MARGINAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER
INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA TUESDAY. BREEZY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS ALONG THE COAST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 17 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....74.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........11     11     14     18     18     23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     47     59     67     70     70
RH..............88     77     58     45     42     43
20 FT WIND......N 6    NE 9   E 15   E 15   E 15   E 15
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10            20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1400   2500   3700   4400   4800
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 17  E 21   E 23   E 24   E 25   E 25
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...STRUBLE
REQUESTED BY...B  WALKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120305.FTMCC.01/JAX