FNUS73 KLSX 051522
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTRAL RIDGE...MODNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
922 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY RESULTING IN CLEAR SKIES
AND LIGHT WINDS.  WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST AND THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.  THESE CONDITIONS ALONG WITH HUMIDITY
VALUES AT OR BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGERS AND PERHAPS RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY.  THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN IS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND AT 2 MPH
                    OR LESS...USING A 0.3 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE LIGHT WIND IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    3900 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2450 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 3 TO 4 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 11 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........BREEZY. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 31 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 41 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (14847 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...JAMIE HUBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120305.CENTR.01/LSX