FNUS73 KLSX 051527
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COL BOT PRAIRIE UNIT 6...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
927 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY RESULTING IN CLEAR SKIES
AND LIGHT WINDS.  WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST AND THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.  THESE CONDITIONS ALONG WITH HUMIDITY
VALUES AT OR BELOW 25 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGERS AND PERHAPS RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY.  THE NEXT
CHANCE OF RAIN IS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH MID AND LATE MORNING
                    THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 8 MPH DURING MID AND LATE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    4200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2670 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...MIKE CABY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120305.COLBO.01/LSX