FNUS73 KPAH 051321 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR STRONG HOLLOW...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 721 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TUESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER PARAMETERS THIS WEEK. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND DRY VEGETATION WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER. RH WILL LOOKS TO BE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME AND WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... WILL MONITOR CLOSELY AS NEW MODEL RUNS BECOME AVAILABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 52. RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 20 MPH BECOMING EAST 2 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............47 49 50 51 51 50 RH..............37 34 33 33 34 39 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E SE S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 5 9 13 17 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 0 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 44 42 40 40 39 RH..............44 53 57 62 62 64 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 1700 900 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 17 S 8 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 44 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 48 60 65 RH..............70 51 44 38 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 10G25 S 11G30 S 11G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1600 3000 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 16 S 35 S 41 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...PRESTON MABRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120305.STRON.01/PAH