FNUS73 KPAH 051331 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL NINE...USFS MARK TWAIN NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 731 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TUESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER PARAMETERS THIS WEEK. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND DRY VEGETATION WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER. RH WILL LOOKS TO BE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME AND WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... WILL MONITOR CLOSELY AS NEW MODEL RUNS BECOME AVAILABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 51. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............42 45 47 48 49 50 50 49 RH..............48 43 40 40 39 39 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E SE S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 5 6 8 12 14 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 0 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 43 41 39 39 38 RH..............47 57 62 64 64 67 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1500 800 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 14 S 6 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 46 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 47 59 64 RH..............70 56 45 41 20 FT WIND......S 5G10 S 10G25 S 12G30 S 12G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1300 2300 2600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 15 S 32 S 44 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120305.TRAIL.01/PAH