FNUS73 KPAH 051525 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WELCH LODGE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 925 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TUESDAY WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER PARAMETERS THIS WEEK. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND DRY VEGETATION WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER. RH WILL LOOKS TO BE MARGINAL AT THIS TIME AND WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER... WILL MONITOR CLOSELY AS NEW MODEL RUNS BECOME AVAILABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 50. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1600-2800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 1 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 43 46 47 48 49 49 48 RH..............49 42 37 35 35 36 37 40 20 FT WIND DIR..NE E SE SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 4 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 1 2 5 8 13 17 23 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34. RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 36 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 41 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM TEMP............46 42 40 38 38 38 RH..............45 55 59 67 67 67 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1100 600 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 28 S 33 S 38 S 40 S 41 S 41 .TUESDAY... TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM TEMP............36 47 60 66 RH..............72 58 44 34 20 FT WIND......S 7G20 S 10G25 S 12G30 S 12G30 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...AARON MIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120305.WELCH.02/PAH