FNUS73 KSGF 051339 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR CARMEN SPRINGS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 739 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND BECOME VERY GUSTY ON TUESDAY. AN ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34 AT IGNITION...MAX 55. MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 38 46 51 55 53 RH..............72 53 37 31 28 32 20 FT WIND......N 3 NE 2 E 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1700 2000 2300 2400 2100 TRANSPORT WIND..N 15 NE 8 E 3 SE 5 SE 12 S 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 64 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 47 44 43 42 41 RH..............36 43 49 55 59 62 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 69. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 37 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 39 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 46 55 62 67 68 RH..............66 58 48 40 35 34 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 8 S 12 S 15 S 16 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 25 35 40 35 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 800 1800 3400 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 28 S 30 S 33 S 37 S 39 S 39 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 59 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 39 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 59 57 56 54 53 52 53 57 61 63 63 RH..............39 49 55 59 65 70 76 77 71 65 63 62 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 12 S 12 S 11 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 600 400 400 400 400 400 700 1900 3600 4400 4000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 39 S 37 S 33 S 30 S 29 S 29 S 29 S 28 S 28 S 29 S 32 S 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...FOSTER REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120305.CARME.01/SGF