FNUS73 KSGF 051646 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR GWCA SOUTH UNITS...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1046 AM CST MON MAR 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND WESTERN KENTUCKY WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD TODAY AND INTO TOMORROW AS LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY ADVANCES FROM THE WEST. THIS PATTERN WILL BRING A DRY SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA WITH SUNNY SKIES THROUGHOUT TODAY. AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BRING STEADILY INCREASING WINDS TO THE AREA TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WITH WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 45 MPH BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 22 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............55 60 61 RH..............31 28 30 20 FT WIND......SE 6 S 8 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 2000 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 18 S 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 55 53 52 51 50 RH..............36 41 45 50 54 59 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 10 S 10 S 11 S 13 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....900 500 300 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 32 S 36 S 37 S 38 S 38 S 38 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 6 5 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 38 TO 47 MPH INCREASING TO 48 TO 51 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 53 60 66 69 70 RH..............64 57 45 36 33 33 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 18 S 21 S 21 S 18 20 FT WIND GUST.30 35 40 45 45 40 MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 1000 2600 3900 3500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 38 S 40 S 43 S 46 S 48 S 51 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 45 TO 55 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 63 61 59 58 57 56 57 61 64 66 66 RH..............38 45 51 58 62 66 73 74 70 67 65 63 20 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 15 S 15 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 700 400 500 400 300 400 800 1700 2800 3400 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 52 S 53 S 54 S 55 S 55 S 55 S 54 S 51 S 47 S 45 S 46 S 51 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...COLUCCI REQUESTED BY...DWIGHT NEWMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120305.GWCAS.01/SGF