FNUS71 KCTP 060943 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 36 COMPLEX...PA NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 443 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... VERY DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD THIS MORNING WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND BRING A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE DRY AIR AND SUNSHINE...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST AND SOUTH TODAY...WILL ALLOW THE FINE FUELS TO DRY OUT EVEN FURTHER. AFTER A NEARLY CALM START...THE WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL GET BREEZY AND GUSTY EACH AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH LATE THURSDAY...AND BRING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO MOST OF THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............29 29 27 27 24 21 20 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................34 37 39 41 42 44 43 41 RH..................36 34 32 35 33 32 34 39 20 FT WIND DIR......W W SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.2 2.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W SW SW S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 6 8 10 12 14 14 13 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............19 14 7 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 35 33 31 30 28 RH..................44 56 64 69 73 77 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 5 SE 3 SE 2 SE 1 SE 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........1200 BLW100 200 200 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 8 S 7 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-2900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 3 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................27 35 46 52 58 59 RH..................84 67 49 42 35 37 20 FT WIND..........E 0 SE 2 S 5 S 8 S 10 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)........200 400 900 1600 2500 2900 TRANSPORT WIND......S 6 S 6 S 8 S 12 S 16 S 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...DANGELO/MARTIN REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120306.RANGE.01/CTP