FNUS72 KILM 061509
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY SHELTER BEAR GARDEN...NCWRC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1009 AM EST TUE MAR 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY...THEN OFFSHORE TONIGHT.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2760-30704 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45     54     57     57
RH..................46     30     29     28
20 FT WIND..........NE 4   NE 4   E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...31     31     29     26

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (575-26219 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............1      3      8      16     21     27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49     41     37     35     34     34
RH..................37     51     64     73     81     87
20 FT WIND..........SE 2   SE 2   E 2    E 1    NE 1   NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....5
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...26     4      4      2      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (229-36455 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............33     26     35     43     45     47
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33     39     53     59     64     62
RH..................96     86     58     52     49     54
20 FT WIND..........NE 1   E 2    E 4    SE 5   SE 5   SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      10     10     5
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0      7      22     33     36     27

$$
FORECASTER...KREITNER
REQUESTED BY...KEN SHUGART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120306.HOLLY.01/ILM