FNUS73 KJKL 052044
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHELTON COOPERAS...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
344 PM EST MON MAR 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.
THIS WILL CAUSE THE MIN RH TO DROP BELOW 25 TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD
BE MITIGATED BE THE LIGHT WINDS FUELS THAT WILL HAVE JUST BE COVERED WITH
SNOW THE DAY BEFORE. ON WEDNESDAY...THE RH WILL BE HIGHER...HOWEVER THE
WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND THE FUELS DRIER. EXPECTING A DECENT RECOVERY IN
THE VALLEY TOMORROW...HOWEVER THE RIDGES WILL ONLY SEE A FAIR RECOVERY.
THIS FORECAST WILL BE UPDATED IN THE MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    LATE.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     32     31     29     28     28
RH..............53     59     63     65     69     69
20 FT WIND......NW 1   NE 0   E 0    SE 0   SE 1   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.                                   5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      5      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........2      1      1      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............28     37     48     56     60     60
RH..............65     50     36     27     23     23
20 FT WIND......SE 1   S 3    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      6      6      6

$$
FORECASTER...JACOBSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120306.SHELT.01/JKL