FNUS73 KLSX 062138
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSHY CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
338 PM CST TUE MAR 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1527 CST ON MARCH 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY DUE
TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.
VERY STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE SOME DIMINISHMENT OCCURS THIS EVENING.  THE VERY
STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IMPROVED ON WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER...
WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS NOT EXPECTED.  THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD
RAIN IS NOT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT REQUEST...MAX 73.
RH..................20 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 19 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 7 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 6 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH...
                    USING A 0.3 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 20 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    WINDY. SOUTH WIND 17 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 38 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND AT 40 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 4 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDY. SOUTH WIND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 17 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 39 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 41 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (22860 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...CHARLENE NAZARENKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120306.BRUSH.01/LSX