FNUS74 KBMX 071414 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE BEND NMP...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 814 AM CST WED MAR 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD DURING THE PERIOD. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES NORTHWEST ALABAMA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW TODAY BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY. THIS FLOW WILL ALLOW A CONTINUED INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP FOG FORMATION LOW...HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL CLOUD AROUND 1500 FEET WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA AFTER 3AM AND REMAIN THROUGH THE MORNING. SMALL RAIN CHANCE ENTER NORTHWEST AREAS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DISPERSION VALUES SHOULD BE GOOD THROUGH THE PERIOD.. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 63 66 69 67 RH..............69 58 47 43 45 20 FT WIND......E 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 E 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 4900 6100 5800 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 22 S 21 S 20 S 20 S 21 DISPERSION......45 63 65 64 66 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............66 62 59 57 55 54 RH..............45 54 62 69 74 77 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 E 3 E 2 E 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 5000 3500 1100 700 400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 22 SE 20 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 DISPERSION......14 15 13 8 5 5 .THURSDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 59 64 71 74 73 RH..............77 71 66 57 49 50 20 FT WIND......E 2 SE 5 SE 7 S 7 S 7 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (FT)....500 2100 4400 6400 7300 6200 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 S 13 S 13 SW 10 SW 10 S 13 DISPERSION......8 25 37 35 37 42 $$ FORECASTER...TALLEY REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER FALKEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120307.HORSE.01/BMX