FNUS71 KCTP 071018 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR A-34 A-32...PA NATIONAL GUARD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 518 AM EST WED MAR 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... WILD LAND FIRE SPREAD DANGER IS ENHANCED BUT NOT CRITICAL TODAY DUE TO GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST TODAY AND WARM AIR WILL FLOW INTO THE COMMONWEALTH. THE SOUTHWEST WIND WILL BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON WITH FREQUENT GUSTS INTO THE 20S...ESPECIALLY ON THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL FINISH THE DAY WELL ABOVE NORMAL WHILE THE DEWPOINTS STAY IN THE 20S AND UPPER TEENS. THIS WILL DROP THE RH/S INTO THE 25 TO 35 PCT RANGE. FINE FUELS ARE DRY BUT THE LARGER FUELS WILL TAKE MORE TIME TO DRY. COORDINATION WITH FIRE AGENCIES ON TUESDAY GAVE THE INDICATION THAT A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT QUITE NECESSARY FOR TODAY. WILL ALLOW THE DAY SHIFT TO ONCE AGAIN CONTACT THE STATE AND FEDERAL FIRE MANAGEMENT AGENCIES TO COLLABORATE ON THE NEED FOR FIRE WEATHER WARNING NECESSITY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............10 15 25 30 30 30 30 29 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................46 49 53 56 59 61 59 57 RH..................48 44 41 38 34 32 34 38 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 8 9 12 13 13 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.6 2.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 12 13 14 16 17 18 16 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............29 31 40 48 50 50 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................55 51 48 46 44 42 RH..................44 56 65 71 78 83 20 FT WIND..........S 12 S 9 S 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)........1100 100 400 500 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND......S 13 S 12 S 17 SW 20 SW 21 SW 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 28 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............50 50 49 50 54 69 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................41 45 52 57 61 63 RH..................89 78 66 59 54 52 20 FT WIND..........SW 9 SW 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 14 SW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 25 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)........600 1000 1800 2600 3300 3400 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 18 SW 21 S 25 SW 28 SW 31 SW 32 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 2 2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...DANGELO/MARTIN REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120307.A34A3.01/CTP