FNUS75 KGJT 070246
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK RIDGE HAND PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
746 PM MST TUE MAR 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT AND CLOSED LOW WILL BE JUST WEST OF THE BURN SITE
THIS MORNING KEEPING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. AS THE CLOSED LOW MOVES OVER THE BURN
SITE...WINDS WILL BECOME RELATIVELY CALM BY NOON AND THEN SWITCH
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN HIGH ALLOWING FOR GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSAL AND CLEARING INDICES THOUGH THEY WILL LIGHTEN UP AS THE
CLOSED LOW MOVES OVER THE BURN SITE. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED
FOR THURSDAY AS WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST AND NORTHEAST WITH
GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 12 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
CLEARING INDEX......350 INCREASING TO 1050 BY 11AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 37 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......350 DECREASING TO 50.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 700.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...ZACH GLOVER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120307.BLACK.01/GJT