FNUS73 KJKL 062309
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOBBLERS KNOB B 1...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
609 PM EST TUE MAR 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES MOVING TO THE EAST WITH THE
RESULTANT SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA. THIS FLOW WILL START TO BRING
IN SOME HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND IN TURN HIGHER RHS THAN WHAT WE SAW TODAY.
THE ONLY MILD CONCERN I HAVE IS THAT THERE IS STILL A JACKPOT OF DRY AIR
ALOFT TOMORROW. I AM NOT FORECASTING IT TO MIX DOWN...HOWEVER IT
BEARS CONTINGENCY CONSIDERATIONS AS YOU PLAN FOR THE BURN. THE NEXT
LIKELIHOOD OF RAIN IS NOT UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH THE
NEXT COLD FRONT. IT COULD BRING UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN TO THE AREA
DURING THAT TIME PERIOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........1      2      3      3      6      9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     50     47     45     43     42
RH..............28     35     42     46     50     57
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....108.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........13     12     11     10     11     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     47     54     59     62     62
RH..............69     61     51     43     41     43
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 9    S 10   S 10   S 12   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     20     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...JJ/GEOGERIAN
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS SHANE STURGILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120307.GOBBL.01/JKL