FNUS74 KLIX 080222 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT O-03-O-16E...SANDHILL CRANE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 822 PM CST WED MAR 7 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST...ALONG WITH A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL KEEP GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS IN PLACE THROUGH TOMORROW. THE LOW IN THE PLAINS WILL APPROACH THE REGION TOMORROW NIGHT...ALLOWING WINDS TO DROP OFF A BIT. HOWEVER... RAIN CHANCES WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION. 1. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG DEVELOPING AFTER 3 AM. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE SOME FACTORS THAT COULD PROHIBIT FOG FORMATION. THESE INCLUDE...LOW CLOUDS ALREADY MOVING INTO THE AREA AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE FOG RISK WILL BE MUCH HIGHER TOMORROW NIGHT...BUT STILL ONLY EXPECT MODERATE FOG CONDITIONS AT WORST. FOG COVERAGE MAY BE MORE WIDESPREAD...BUT THE FOG WILL BREAK UP A BIT WHEN PASSING RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH. 2. THERE IS ZERO CHANCE OF THE WIND BECOMING CALM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE TOMORROW...WITH MUCH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES TOMORROW NIGHT AND FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE HALF OF AN INCH. 4. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. THERE IS A LOW RISK OF LIGHTNING IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. 5. WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 OR 30 MPH AT TIMES...BUT THE MOST COMMON GUSTS WILL BE IN THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE. PEAK GUSTS WILL BE IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........63 63 63 63 72 72 72 72 72 72 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 63 63 62 62 62 62 62 62 62 RH..............87 90 90 93 93 90 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 14 14 14 13 13 13 10 10 10 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 DISPERSION......22 12 12 12 14 14 14 9 9 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........71 71 71 71 71 71 64 64 64 64 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............62 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 76 77 77 75 RH..............90 90 84 81 78 76 73 69 66 64 64 69 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 20 20 20 20 20 20 14 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 6 6 6 DISPERSION......27 27 27 47 37 37 47 47 63 46 46 46 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .THURSDAY NIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........68 68 68 68 68 68 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 70 67 65 63 62 RH..............73 81 93 93 100 100 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1500 800 1000 1000 1100 MIX HGT (M).....460 460 240 300 300 340 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 13 SE 8 S 8 S 8 S 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 6 SE 4 S 4 S 4 S 3 DISPERSION......14 14 7 7 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120307.CPTO0.02/LIX