FNUS72 KMLB 071951
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MACK FIRE...LAKE COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
250 PM EST WED MAR 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1431 EST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STEADY EASTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TOWARD SUNSET BUT THE LOCAL PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
TIGHT ENOUGH TO PREVENT THEM FROM GOING CALM OVERNIGHT. THE ONSHORE
COMPONENT THAT HAS PREVAILED FOR THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS PUSHED ENOUGH
OCEAN MODIFIED AIR ACROSS THE BURN SITE TO KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES ABOVE 40 PERCENT.


.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY.......48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......EAST WINDS 16 TO 17 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....10 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 25 TO 26 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...70.
LVORI..............1.

TIME (EST)         3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........
WEATHER TYPE.......
TEMP...............73  73  71  69  67  67  66  66  65  64  64  63
RH.................50  50  51  53  66  69  70  73  75  78  81  82
20 FT WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD.....17  16  16  16  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST....25  25  25  25  20  10  10  10


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY.......88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......EAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 6 MPH
                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....10 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....EAST 20 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH
                   AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX...5.
LVORI..............5.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY.......46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......EAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....20 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL
                   IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...41.
LVORI..............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...JERRY SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120307.LAKEM.01/MLB