FNUS73 KPAH 071318 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR REDDICK HOLLOW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 718 AM CST WED MAR 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY DRY VEGETATION ...CREATING AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THREAT TODAY. RH WILL START OUT IN THE LOW 30S EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO THE MID 40S IN THE EASTERN OZARKS. THEREFORE OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. ANY FIRES THAT ARE STARTED TODAY OR ARE ALREADY IN PROGRESS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN UNDER THESE STRONG WINDS. MOISTURE WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE AFTER SUNSET AS WINDS DECREASE SLIGHTLY. RAIN WILL MOVE IN BY THURSDAY MORNING BRINGING AN END TO THE ELEVATED FIRE RISK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...THEN DECREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3500-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 MPH INCREASING TO 44 TO 48 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 65 67 68 70 70 70 69 RH..............48 45 43 42 41 42 42 45 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 13 12 11 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 40 35 35 30 25 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.30 37 44 46 48 48 48 48 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 46 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 46 TO 53 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 64 62 61 59 58 RH..............49 56 65 70 78 80 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 3000 1500 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 48 S 51 S 53 S 53 S 53 SW 48 CWR.............0 0 0 50 50 50 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64. RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................85 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 41 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 17 TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EAST 16 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............57 60 61 62 RH..............86 83 77 69 20 FT WIND......S 8G15 SW 6G15 SW 6G10 NW 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2100 2600 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 41 S 17 S 0 E 16 CWR.............90 90 80 80 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120307.REDDI.01/PAH