FNUS74 KBMX 072259
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE BEND NMP RX BURN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
459 PM CST WED MAR 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON MARCH 08.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM BEGINS TO APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR THE REST OF THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SOAKING RAINS LIKELY BY FRIDAY MORNING
FOR EVERYONE. SOME THUNDER WILL BE HEARD...BUT NOT EXPECTING ANY
SEVERE WITH THIS FRONT.

FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AN ISSUE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING
DUE TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AS WINDS CONTINUE FROM THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST. WINDS WILL START OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AGAIN THURSDAY
AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AS THE FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTH. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...SHORT LIVED NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
PICK UP FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND WE SHOULD HAVE EASTERLY FLOW BY
SATURDAY ONCE AGAIN.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     60     56     54     53     53
RH..............53     65     75     81     85     86
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 3    E 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   5200   3200   400    600    900
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20  S 22   S 18   SE 10  SE 10  SE 12
DISPERSION......63     68     46     7      7      10

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     57     63     69     75     72
RH..............80     75     65     59     50     54
20 FT WIND......E 2    SE 5   SE 7   S 7    S 7    S 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1300   2400   3700   3900   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10  S 13   S 14   S 13   SW 13  S 15
DISPERSION......9      14     19     34     34     39

$$
FORECASTER...GRANTHAM
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER FALKEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120308.HORSE.02/BMX