FNUS74 KBMX 081405 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE BEND NMP...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 805 AM CST THU MAR 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... INCREASING RAIN CHANCES OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE WETTING RAINS SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL THE AFTERNOON. CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SPRINKLE OR TWO FOR THE AFTERNOON THROUGH 4 PM...BUT ACCUMULATING RAINS SHOULD MOVE IN BY 6 PM. ONCE IN THE AREA RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO THE FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL BE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE WE MAY SEE BETWEEN ONE-HALF AND THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN IN THE BURN AREA. THE ONLY RESTRICTIONS TO VISIBILITIES WILL BE WITH THE RAIN ITSELF. CURRENT INVERSION AT 2000 FEET WILL DISSIPATE BY 10 AM...WITH THE DISPERSION LEVEL RISING TO AROUND 5 TO 7 KFT. HIGHEST DISPERSIONS AROUND NOON THROUGH 4 PM BEFORE THE RAIN SETS UP. COULD SEE A TEMPORARY DRY DAY ON SATURDAY...BUT THAT MAY BE THE ONLY DAY OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. BEST CHANCES WILL BE TONIGHT. WITH THE LOWER CEILINGS...DISPERSIONS INDICIES FALL EACH DAY. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST (PIKE AND BARBOUR COUNTIES) FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE INCREASE OF MOISTURE. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 70 74 76 72 RH..............76 64 57 55 61 20 FT WIND......SE 7 S 8 S 8 S 7 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 4500 6600 6800 4900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 20 SW 20 SW 18 SW 17 DISPERSION......19 57 67 64 53 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............70 68 67 66 65 63 RH..............66 73 75 79 81 84 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 2400 1600 1400 1800 1800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 SW 18 SW 20 W 17 NW 12 N 9 DISPERSION......63 52 41 19 13 10 .FRIDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 61 62 64 64 63 RH..............85 81 73 63 54 49 20 FT WIND......W 3 NW 5 N 5 N 5 N 6 N 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 2100 2800 2800 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..N 13 N 15 N 15 N 15 N 21 N 21 DISPERSION......14 17 10 35 48 43 $$ FORECASTER...JAARON REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER FALKEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120308.HORSE.05/BMX