FNUS74 KBMX 090057
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUMP CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
657 PM CST THU MAR 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CST ON MARCH 08.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NOW ENTERING NORTHWEST CENTRAL
ALABAMA WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SLOWLY EAST AND SOUTH TONIGHT. THIS LINE
WILL BE ENTERING WESTERN PORTIONS OF CLAY COUNTY AFTER 11PM THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE...SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS EARLY AS 8PM. EXPECT HEAVY RAIN AND WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS THE
LINE OF STORMS MOVES INTO THE AREA. WINDS WITHIN STRONGER STORMS ALONG
THE LINE AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE GUSTY...AS HIGH AS
30 MPH. RAIN WILL END BY MID MORNING...WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 20 MPH
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SATURDAY COULD BE OUR ONLY DRY DAY AS
MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY RETURN ON SUNDAY. WETTING RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AT LEAST THROUGH TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     63     60     58     58     57
RH..............63     87     96     100    93     86
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 2    SE 2   SE 2   SW 3   W 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).90     90     90     90     90     90
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   1000   1300   1600   1500   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14  W 9    NW 9   NW 14  N 13   N 14
DISPERSION......22     12     16     15     14     15

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............57     60     63     63     63     63
RH..............81     64     51     48     46     42
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 7    N 7    N 7    N 7    N 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).80     80     80     80     80     80
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1600   1400   1200   1600   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 18   N 21   N 20   N 15   N 14   N 14
DISPERSION......21     23     22     22     24     23

$$
FORECASTER...BRITTON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120308.MUMPC.02/BMX