FNUS72 KMFL 081333
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC-SE4...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
833 AM EST THU MAR 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EST ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
RESULTING IN A MODERATE LOW LEVEL EAST WIND FLOW AT THE FIRE SITE.
THERE WILL ALSO BE QUITE A BIT OF CLOUD COVER DEVELOP LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES BUT
ONLY A FEW SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THE EAST FLOW WILL ALSO RESULT IN VERY GOOD DISPERSION BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     41     29     20
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............85     86     84     78     71     69
RH..............48     46     49     60     76     81
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 6    E 5    E 4    E 4    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   4500   4000   2300   2300   500
MIXNG WIND......E 16   E 16   E 12   E 7    E 7    E 6
DISPERSION IDX..62     62     54     28     28     3
LVORI...........1      1      1      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....54 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 46 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120308.BCSE4.01/MFL