FNUS74 KSHV 081327 FWSSHV SPOT FORECAST FOR UPP 1-1...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 727 AM CST THU MAR 8 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT THE BRUNT OF THE RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE BURN SITE UNTIL THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE ACROSS THE BURN SITE TONIGHT BEFORE STALLING SOUTH OF THE AREA. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AS THE FRONT PASSES. .TODAY... TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........88 86 86 90 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RH..............76 71 62 58 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 9 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 TRANSPORT WIND..S 22 S 26 S 26 S 26 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 10 S 12 S 12 S 12 .TONIGHT... TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........95 95 97 99 99 99 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RH..............57 76 76 69 69 75 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 NE 10 NE 10 NE 10 NE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 20 20 TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 5 S 5 NE 29 NE 29 NE 29 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 2 S 2 S 2 NE 13 NE 13 NE 13 .FRIDAY... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........99 99 95 92 92 88 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RH..............86 84 74 64 61 58 20 FT WIND......NE 13 NE 13 NE 14 NE 13 NE 13 NE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 43 NE 43 NE 43 E 33 E 33 E 33 TRAN WIND (M/S).NE 19 NE 19 NE 19 E 15 E 15 E 15 $$ FORECASTER...NUTTALL REQUESTED BY...CHRIS FOSTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120308.UPP11.01/SHV