FNUS74 KBMX 082207
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE BEND NMP BURN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 PM CST THU MAR 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON MARCH 09.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE WETTING RAINS SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL THIS EVENING. ONCE IN
THE AREA...RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST
RAINS WILL BE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BEFORE ALL IS
SAID AND DONE WE MAY SEE BETWEEN ONE-HALF AND THREE-QUARTERS
OF AN INCH OF RAIN IN THE BURN AREA. DISPERSION LEVELS WILL FALL
THROUGH THE EVENING AS THE RAIN AND LOWER CEILINGS MOVE INTO THE
AREA.THE ONLY RESTRICTIONS TO VISIBILITIES SHOULD BE WITH THE
RAIN ITSELF. THEE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG BEFORE SUNRISE FRIDAY
MORNING...BUT IT SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES
WHERE RAIN COVERAGE IS LESS.

COULD SEE A TEMPORARY DRY DAY ON SATURDAY...BUT THAT MAY BE
THE ONLY DAY OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY
RETURN ON SUNDAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.


.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     64     60     59     58     58
RH..............60     84     100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 2   SW 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     70     70
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   1600   900    1700   1700   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18  SW 15  W 12   NW 10  N 7    N 9
DISPERSION......51     32     12     12     8      10

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............58     61     65     65     65     65
RH..............93     75     58     54     50     48
20 FT WIND......NW 2   N 3    N 5    N 6    N 7    N 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).80     80     80     80     80     80
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1500   1400   1300   1400   1200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 18   N 21   NE 20  N 17   N 13
DISPERSION......17     21     23     30     27     18

$$
FORECASTER...TGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER FALKEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120309.HORSE.01/BMX