FNUS72 KMFL 091527
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC NC 5...SEMINOLE TRIBE OF FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1027 AM EST FRI MAR 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1035 EST ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A MODERATE EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW AT THE
FIRE SITE. THIS WILL RESULT IN A 10 TO 15 MPH TRANSPORT WIND WITH
GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSION. ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO
PERSISTS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO DEVELOP TO
THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BURN SITE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST SO A FEW
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SHIFTING TO THE EAST TODAY
AND THE WIND MAY BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY TOWARDS THE LATE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........66     66     58     58     60     60
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............80     83     85     84     81     73
RH..............64     55     50     53     67     81
20 FT WIND......SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   SE 5   S 5    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   4000   4000   2200   2200   300
MIXNG WIND......SE 16  SE 16  SE 16  SE 8   S 8    S 5
DISPERSION IDX..38     45     45     21     21     2
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     20
LAL.............1      2      2      2      2      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
                    TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 41.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE LIGHTSEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120309.BCNC5.01/MFL