FNUS72 KJAX 110802
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARIBBEAN CIRCLE...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
402 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0400 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF THE REGION TODAY
WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN. ELEVATED TRANSPORT
WINDS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PUSH DISPERSION VALUES INTO THE 60S
TODAY. RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE 50 PERCENT TODAY...BUT WE
ANTICIPATE LOWER RH VALUES ON MONDAY AS SLIGHTLY DRIER
AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE WILDFIRE EARLY THIS
MORNING BUT NO THUNDER IS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 22 TO 26 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........77     79     76     74     69     76
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............60     60     65     71     74     75
RH..............88     88     74     62     55     53
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 11  E 14   E 15   E 15   E 16
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     18     22     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1000   1800   2700   3500   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 22   E 24   E 24   E 25   E 25   E 25
DISPERSION INDX.20     22     27     57     66     68
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     20     20     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 17 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........75     70     67     63     60     62
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     66     62     60     58     57
RH..............56     68     80     86     89     92
20 FT WIND......E 16   NE 15  E 12   E 8    E 7    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     20     20     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   2200   1800   1400   1000   800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 25   E 25   E 22   E 17   E 14   E 13
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.64     51     39     19     9      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 14 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...BARRY COULLIETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120310.CARIB.02/JAX