FNUS73 KLSX 101534
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAY POND...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
934 AM CST SAT MAR 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL DOMINATE THE REGION AGAIN TODAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE SUNDAY EVENING. WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WIND SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WIND 2 MPH USING WIND ADJUSTMENT FACTOR
                    OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHEAST WIND 6 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AT IGNITION...3000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4980 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 2 MPH USING WIND ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHEAST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH USING WIND
                    ADJUSTMENT OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHEAST WIND 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (8798 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...TIM BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120310.BAYPO.01/LSX