FNUS72 KMFL 101203
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR J HULL-BEAR PEN...JIM HULL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
703 AM EST SAT MAR 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO NEAR THE BURN
LOCATION TODAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...AND THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY FOG. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT MAINLY OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED
AGAIN TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
ON SUNDAY AND WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST TO AROUND 15 MPH
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDICES TODAY WILL MAINLY BE IN THE
POOR RANGE...BUT IT COULD GET TO THE LOW END OF THE POOR TO FAIR
RANGE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 19 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........61     61     61     51     51     51
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............66     76     80     83     82     79
RH..............93     66     56     49     51     58
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 5    N 5    SE 2   SE 4   SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   2800   2800   4000   4000   4000
MIXNG WIND......N 7    E 7    E 7    SE 6   E 8    E 8
DISPERSION IDX..11     15     15     21     23     23
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      9
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............9.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 8 TO 13 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...JIM HULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120310.JHULL.01/MFL