FNUS71 KCTP 111225
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUZZARD SWAMP...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
825 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA WILL PROVIDE PENNSYLVANIA
WITH SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER TODAY. DRY FINE FUELS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED RISK OF BRUSH
FIRES. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY FIRES
FROM SPREADING RAPIDLY.

AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING HUMIDITY
AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3900 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............1      1      3
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54     58     58
RH..................33     31     31
20 FT WIND..........SW 10  SW 10  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........2700   3800   3700
LAL.................1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............3      4      11     20     27     37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     50     47     44     42     40
RH..................36     50     56     61     67     71
20 FT WIND..........SW 8   SW 7   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........3000   1200   400    200    200    200
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 900-2600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............51     62     73     88     100    99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................39     39     48     55     56     57
RH..................74     74     59     52     55     61
20 FT WIND..........S 6    S 5    S 7    S 9    S 12   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10            10     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)........100    100    1100   2200   2600   1500
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...PETE TO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120311.BUZZA.02/CTP