FNUS72 KFFC 112258
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR STRAWBERRY 23...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
658 PM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 EDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW AND A SERIES OF WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES IN THE AREA BY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. THIS COUPLED WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY LATE ON MONDAY WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS LIKELY
ON MONDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM MONDAY AFTERNOON.
THE FRONT WILL STALL NEAR NORTH GA ON TUESDAY...CONTINUING THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS THROUGH MID WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF A SHOWER THROUGH THE EVENING...THEN RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AFTER
MIDNIGHT... WITH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWING THE GREATER RAIN
CHANCES IN THE BURN AREA NOT UNTIL AFTER 4 AM TONIGHT... AND
COVERAGE WOULD BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........77     80     82     88     93
WEATHER COV.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............63     61     58     55     54
RH..............50     56     64     75     80
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     12     11     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..8      8      8      8      4
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      4
CWR.............10     20     30     40     50

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    BY 6-7 AM. EXPECT ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS...AND MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3900 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 18
                    TO 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 60 EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 64 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........96     100    100    100    96     96
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............52     53     55     59     63     65
RH..............86     93     84     73     65     61
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 8    S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     12     15     16     16     16
DISPERSION IDX..22     56     67     65     56     52
LVORI...........4      4      3      2      1      1
CWR.............70     70     70     60     60     60

$$

FORECASTER...DARBE
REQUESTED BY...JEFFREY SCHARDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120311.STRAW.04/FFC