FNUS74 KHUN 111533 FWSHUN SPOT FORECAST FOR TANKERSLEY - DAY 2 UPDATE...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 1033 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1018 CDT ON MARCH 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE IN SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS WILL ALSO INCREASE BY MID-AFTERNOON...WITH SHOWER ACTIVITY CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE DAY ON MONDAY AS A WEAK FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH TRANSPORT FLOW EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 20-25 MPH BOTH DAYS. SMOKE PLUMES WILL TRAVEL TO THE NORTHWEST TODAY...BUT SHOULD TRAVEL TO THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST TOMORROW AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE SURFACE-3500 FT AGL LAYER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............53 59 63 66 RH..............62 55 50 49 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1500 2500 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 18 SE 23 DISPERSION IDX..22 32 40 47 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. CWR.................90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............64 62 60 59 57 56 RH..............53 60 66 71 76 80 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 1800 1300 1300 800 900 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 23 SE 23 S 23 S 23 S 16 S 16 DISPERSION IDX..47 42 35 26 14 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 90 90 90 90 90 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................90 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............56 57 63 67 71 72 RH..............83 84 73 66 60 56 20 FT WIND......SE 9 S 9 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 9 MIX HGT (FT)....900 900 1900 1900 3200 3600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 S 17 S 22 S 22 SW 23 SW 21 DISPERSION IDX..14 15 24 41 56 54 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 70 70 70 70 70 $$ FORECASTER...DIXON REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120311.TANKE.01/HUN