FNUS74 KMEG 111037 FWSMEG SPOT FORECAST FOR ROLFE RD RX BURN_3 11 2012...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 537 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0550 CDT ON MARCH 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY ENOUGH RAIN TO FALL OVER THE FIRE SITE WILL BE BETWEEN NOON AND 2PM. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL LIFT NORTHEAST INTO THE MIDWEST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE MIDSOUTH...WITH THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. HIGHS TODAY...DESPITE THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION...WILL BE IN THE 60S TO LOW 70S. FOR TONIGHT...BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MILD. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MID MARCH ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK...WITH RAIN CHANCES GREATEST LATER IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%)..10 10 20 30 40 50 PRECIP TYPE.....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV..... SCHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMPERATURE.....46 48 53 61 66 67 DEWPOINT........39 41 43 47 50 52 RH (%)..........75 76 68 61 58 59 20FT WIND MPH...SE 9 SE 12 SE 13 SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 20FT WIND GUST..12 16 18 19 19 19 MIXHGT M AGL....0 40 285 934 1148 825 MIXHGT FT AGL...0 132 936 3067 3769 2707 MIXHGT M MSL....9 134 491 1149 1354 1031 MIXHGT FT MSL...30 442 1612 3771 4444 3383 TRANS WND M/S...SE 4 SE 6 S 10 S 11 S 11 S 11 TRANS WND MPH...SE 9 SE 14 S 23 S 25 S 25 S 24 CATEGORY DAY....1 1 2 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM CLOUD COVER.....CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP CHC (%)..90 90 90 90 90 90 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....CHANCE PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD PERIOD TEMPERATURE.....67 66 64 62 62 62 DEWPOINT........53 53 53 53 54 55 RH (%)..........60 63 68 72 75 78 20FT WIND MPH...SE 14 SE 14 SE 15 S 15 S 15 S 14 20FT WIND GUST..19 19 21 21 21 19 MIXHGT M AGL....569 345 192 146 128 111 MIXHGT FT AGL...1870 1134 631 481 423 366 MIXHGT M MSL....775 551 398 352 334 317 MIXHGT FT MSL...2545 1810 1307 1157 1099 1042 TRANS WND M/S...S 11 S 13 S 13 S 11 S 9 S 9 TRANS WND MPH...S 25 S 28 S 28 S 24 S 21 S 20 CATEGORY DAY....3 3 2 1 1 1 .MONDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM CLOUD COVER.....CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%)..90 90 70 70 70 40 PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR WEATHER COV.....PERIOD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE TEMPERATURE.....62 63 66 70 73 74 DEWPOINT........56 58 59 60 60 59 RH (%)..........82 83 79 69 63 59 20FT WIND MPH...S 13 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 12 20FT WIND GUST..18 16 16 16 16 16 MIXHGT M AGL....103 159 280 385 636 911 MIXHGT FT AGL...338 524 919 1264 2088 2989 MIXHGT M MSL....309 365 486 591 842 1117 MIXHGT FT MSL...1014 1200 1595 1939 2763 3665 TRANS WND M/S...S 8 S 8 S 10 S 10 SW 10 SW 11 TRANS WND MPH...S 17 S 18 S 22 S 22 SW 23 SW 24 CATEGORY DAY....1 1 2 2 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...BRANDA REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120311.ROLFE.01/MEG