FNUS75 KBOU 111401 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ICS BURN...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 753 AM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS ON MONDAY. ONCE THIS SYSTEM PASSES...LOOK FOR THE FLOW ALOFT TO BECOME WESTERLY AND WIND SPEEDS ALOFT TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SOME OF THIS MOMENTUM IS EXPECTED TO MIX DOWN TO THE GROUND PRODUCING GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS IN AND NEAR THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. AT THE BURN AREA...WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS THOSE NEAR THE FOOTHILLS. OTHERWISE DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 8400-9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37. MAX HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 14800-15800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ICSBURN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/11-07 90 15 3 37 70 N 6 6 3 1 NE13 767 N12 7774 P 03/11-08 90 15 3 39 61 NW 7 7 3 1 E14 968 NW13 10491 P 03/11-09 90 15 3 43 51 W 7 7 3 1 E14 1168 NW13 13207 P 03/11-10 71 15 3 47 43 NW 7 7 3 1 NE12 2503 NW13 27086 P 03/11-11 71 3 1 52 37 NW 7 7 3 1 N10 3838 N13 40965 F 03/11-12 19 3 1 55 33 N 7 7 3 1 N 9 5173 N13 54844 F 03/11-13 19 0 0 58 28 N 9 9 3 1 N10 6661 N13 72030 G 03/11-14 19 0 0 60 24 NW10 16 3 1 NW14 8148 NW13 89217 G 03/11-15 7 0 0 61 21 NW13 20 3 1 NW17 9636 NW13 106404 V 03/11-16 7 0 0 60 20 NW14 20 3 1 NW20 8171 NW16 106948 V 03/11-17 7 0 0 59 20 W13 20 4 1 NW23 6705 NW20 107492 V 03/11-18 1 3 1 56 21 W13 20 4 1 NW25 5240 NW24 108035 V 03/11-19 1 3 1 54 23 W12 18 4 1 NW26 3756 W22 76481 G 03/11-20 1 3 1 51 26 W12 17 5 1 NW29 2272 W21 44927 F 03/11-21 1 3 1 47 31 W10 16 5 1 NW29 788 W20 13372 P 03/11-22 1 3 1 45 34 W 9 14 5 1 NW28 614 W16 9716 P 03/11-23 1 3 1 43 37 W 8 8 5 1 NW24 441 W14 6059 P 03/12-00 0 0 0 42 39 SW 8 8 5 1 NW22 268 W10 2403 P 03/12-01 0 0 0 40 42 W 8 8 5 1 NW17 250 W10 2222 P 03/12-02 0 0 0 39 44 W 8 8 4 1 W14 232 W10 2041 P 03/12-03 2 0 0 39 45 W 9 14 4 1 W12 214 W10 1861 P 03/12-04 2 0 0 38 45 W10 16 4 1 W12 220 W10 1952 P 03/12-05 2 0 0 38 44 W12 17 4 1 W14 225 W10 2043 P 03/12-06 5 0 0 39 43 W12 17 4 1 W16 230 W10 2134 P 03/12-07 5 0 0 39 43 SW 9 14 4 1 W17 725 W10 5620 P 03/12-08 5 0 0 42 39 S 6 6 5 1 SW18 1220 W 9 9106 P 03/12-09 5 0 0 47 34 SE 3 3 5 1 SW18 1715 W 8 12592 P 03/12-10 5 0 0 53 27 S 2 2 5 1 W18 4738 W 9 64658 G 03/12-11 5 0 0 60 21 CALM 1 5 1 SW18 8810 W13 126480 V 03/12-12 20 0 0 66 16 CALM 1 5 1 SW18 12881 W17 188303 E 03/12-13 20 0 0 69 13 S 2 2 5 1 SW18 14057 W16 187866 E 03/12-14 20 0 0 68 13 S 3 3 4 1 W20 15232 W14 187430 E 03/12-15 20 0 0 70 12 SE 5 5 4 1 W21 16408 W13 186994 E 03/12-16 20 0 0 71 12 S 5 5 4 1 W23 15348 SW13 175284 E 03/12-17 20 0 0 70 14 S 3 3 3 1 W25 14289 SW13 163574 E 03/12-18 19 0 0 68 17 S 2 2 3 1 W26 13229 SW13 151864 E 03/12-19 19 0 0 63 20 SW 2 2 3 1 W26 9264 W 9 101842 V 03/12-20 19 0 0 59 23 W 3 3 3 1 W25 5298 W 6 51820 F 03/12-21 19 0 0 55 27 NW 3 3 3 1 W24 1333 CALM 1798 P 03/12-22 19 0 0 53 30 W 3 3 3 1 W22 1006 W 2 1701 P 03/12-23 19 0 0 51 33 SW 5 5 4 1 SW20 680 SW 3 1605 P 03/13-00 18 0 0 49 35 SW 5 5 4 1 SW18 353 SW 5 1508 P 03/13-01 18 0 0 47 37 SW 6 6 4 1 SW16 341 SW 6 1673 P 03/13-02 18 0 0 45 41 S 6 6 4 1 SW15 329 SW 7 1839 P 03/13-03 18 0 0 44 42 S 7 7 4 1 SW15 317 SW 7 2004 P 03/13-04 18 0 0 42 43 S 7 7 4 1 SW15 285 SW 7 1786 P 03/13-05 18 0 0 41 42 S 7 7 4 1 SW14 252 S 7 1568 P 03/13-06 18 0 0 40 44 S 7 7 4 1 SW14 219 S 7 1350 P 03/13-07 18 0 0 39 47 S 7 7 4 1 SW14 334 S 7 2129 P 03/13-08 18 0 0 39 49 S 6 6 5 1 SW14 448 SW 7 2908 P 03/13-09 18 0 0 46 39 SW 6 6 5 1 SW15 563 SW 8 3686 P 03/13-10 18 0 0 54 28 S 6 6 5 1 SW17 3832 SW 9 42040 F 03/13-11 18 0 0 60 21 S 6 6 4 1 SW20 7100 SW12 80393 G 03/13-12 23 0 0 66 16 S 6 6 4 1 SW22 10369 SW13 118747 V 03/13-13 23 0 0 69 14 S 6 6 4 1 SW22 10669 SW14 129190 V 03/13-14 23 0 0 68 13 SW 6 6 4 1 SW21 10968 SW15 139633 V 03/13-15 23 0 0 70 13 SW 6 6 4 1 SW22 11268 SW15 150077 E 03/13-16 23 0 0 71 13 SW 6 6 4 1 SW28 10781 SW16 145558 V 03/13-17 23 0 0 70 15 SW 5 5 3 1 W35 10294 SW16 141038 V 03/13-18 18 0 0 68 17 SW 5 5 3 1 W39 9806 SW16 136519 V 03/13-19 18 0 0 63 22 S 5 5 3 1 W41 6731 SW13 92091 G 03/13-20 18 0 0 59 25 S 5 5 3 1 W40 3656 S 9 47663 F 03/13-21 18 0 0 55 28 SE 5 5 3 1 W39 581 S 7 3236 P 03/13-22 18 0 0 52 31 S 6 6 3 1 W38 521 S 8 3311 P 03/13-23 18 0 0 50 32 S 7 7 4 1 W38 460 S 9 3386 P 03/14-00 18 0 0 48 34 S 8 8 4 1 W37 400 SW10 3461 P 03/14-01 18 0 0 47 36 S 8 8 4 1 W36 363 SW 9 2991 P 03/14-02 18 0 0 44 41 SW 7 7 4 1 W36 326 SW 9 2522 P 03/14-03 18 0 0 43 42 SW 7 7 4 1 W36 289 SW 8 2052 P 03/14-04 18 0 0 41 45 SW 7 7 4 1 W35 250 SW 8 1737 P 03/14-05 18 0 0 41 44 SW 7 7 4 1 W32 211 SW 8 1422 P 03/14-06 16 2 0 39 45 SW 7 7 4 1 W31 172 SW 7 1106 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...BAKER WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...DARWIN SCHULTZ REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120312.ICSBU.01/BOU