FNUS72 KMHX 121539 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR SWAIN...NCFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1139 AM EDT MON MAR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL INFLUENCE THE WEATHER THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............40 43 45 45 47 48 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................69 70 70 69 67 65 RH..................55 52 48 49 50 52 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......5 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................30 40 48 54 45 49 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............49 50 51 53 57 61 65 69 71 73 76 80 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................64 62 60 59 59 58 57 57 56 56 55 55 RH..................54 60 67 69 69 72 75 77 80 80 86 86 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............1 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 ADI.................40 28 17 15 13 10 11 13 11 11 11 10 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............84 88 89 89 90 90 90 90 90 89 86 84 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................55 55 55 58 61 64 66 68 69 69 69 69 RH..................86 86 90 80 72 67 63 61 59 59 61 61 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 LVORI...............5 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.................9 9 8 11 17 34 42 52 60 60 57 52 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...JAMIE DUNBAR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120312.SWAIN.01/MHX