FNUS73 KPAH 121251 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB ORCHARD CAMPGROUND PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 751 AM CDT MON MAR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AFTER SHOWERS LEAVE THE REGION THIS MORNING...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ASSURE RAIN FREE CONDITIONS THROUGH MID WEEK...THOUGH IT WILL BE WARMER AND MORE HUMID. THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE UNSETTLED TOWARD LATE WEEK...WITH BETTER CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 37 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY MC MC MC MC MC PC PC MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............63 66 68 71 72 73 73 72 70 RH..............84 75 68 62 54 49 47 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 12 13 14 14 14 13 11 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 30 30 30 30 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 28 28 29 31 33 36 37 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 38 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 65 62 59 57 55 RH..............61 73 81 87 90 95 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 7 SW 6 SW 4 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 1800 1200 700 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 38 SW 36 SW 30 SW 24 SW 17 SW 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75. RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............53 62 70 74 RH..............93 75 55 45 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 0 S 2 S 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....800 1900 3300 4500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120312.CRABO.01/PAH