FNUS73 KEAX 131157 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MUDDY NFWR - LOESING...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 657 AM CDT TUE MAR 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND WILL BE A VERY WARM PERIOD WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING 20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE AS SOUTHERLY WINDS DRAW IN DEEPER MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...MORE TYPICAL OF LATE MAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY ORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL VERY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH NORTHERN MISSOURI HAVING THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........3 4 6 8 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 76 80 76 RH..............53 44 38 43 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 9 S 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 59. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........9 10 10 11 11 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............74 71 68 65 63 61 RH..............46 51 56 62 69 77 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 S 8 S 9 S 8 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 4 4 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........55 57 53 46 47 49 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 65 71 77 81 80 RH..............85 77 69 62 52 52 20 FT WIND......S 8 S 10 S 14 SW 16 SW 17 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JULY REQUESTED BY...JESTIN CLARK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120313.BIGMU.01/EAX