FNUS73 KJKL 131055
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PEELED DOGWOOD...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
655 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...DRIER TODAY...BUT STILL RATHER HUMID...

.DISCUSSION...FOLLOWING A DAMP AND MOSTLY CLOUDY NIGHT...AN AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN DRYING THINGS OUT TODAY WITH ONLY A VERY
SMALL CHANCE OF A STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. PARTIAL SUNSHINE WILL
SUPPORT TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MIDDLE 70S THIS AFTERNOON AND
DROPPING HUMIDITY LEVELS DOWN TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. FURTHER DRYING
THROUGH THE DAY...WEDNESDAY WILL LEAD TO RH VALUES DOWN TO ABOUT 30
PERCENT BY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE RETURNING TO THE
REGION ON THURSDAY AS THE NEXT WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........64     55     45     43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     72     74     73
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 8    W 8    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...CALM TO WEST AT 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......CALM TO WEST AT 5 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........45     47     48     49     40     36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     64     61     58     57     55
RH..............60     70     78     85     87     89
20 FT WIND......W 2    SW 3   SW 2   W 0    W 1    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....58.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........32     32     32     29     27     23
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     61     68     73     76     76
RH..............93     86     70     52     49     50
20 FT WIND......W 1    NW 1   NW 2   W 3    SW 5   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      10     5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...GREIF
REQUESTED BY...ALISON COONS - SZFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120313.PEELE.01/JKL