FNUS72 KMFL 131751
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR J HULL - BEAR PEN...JIM HULL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
151 PM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A PREVAILING
EAST WIND BUT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA HAS WEAKENED.
THE EAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE LESS THAN 10 MPH BUT GUSTS INTO
THE MID TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 6 PM EDT. WINDS DECREASE AND SHIFT
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AFTER 8 PM EDT TO 2 TO 5 MPH OR LESS BUT BECOME
CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT.

SOME PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR OVERNIGHT IN OPEN AREAS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BE
SHALLOW IN DEPTH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44 DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........38     38     38     33     33     33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............85     85     82     74     68     64
RH..............41     41     44     57     70     81
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 5    E 4    E 2    E 2    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4000   4000   2200   2200   300
MIXNG WIND......E 9    E 9    E 7    E 5    E 5    NE 2
DISPERSION IDX..44     44     33     17     17     1
LVORI...........1      1      7      7      7      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 1.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...JIM HULL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120313.JHULL.03/MFL