FNUS72 KMHX 131221 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEP SAND RD...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 821 AM EDT TUE MAR 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY THEN DISSIPATE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY SLIP SOUTH INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH EARLY...INCREASING TO 18 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............83 83 84 84 84 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................58 62 66 68 67 RH..................87 78 70 65 68 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 15 LVORI...............7 4 3 3 3 ADI.................6 13 21 27 27 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............84 84 77 67 60 55 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................66 61 59 57 56 55 RH..................70 87 90 96 100 100 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 LVORI...............3 5 5 7 9 9 ADI.................18 7 7 5 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............47 42 38 32 28 23 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 56 62 68 71 72 RH..................100 100 84 65 61 57 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 W 5 W 4 W 3 W 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 LVORI...............9 9 5 3 3 2 ADI.................3 3 2 6 10 9 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120313.DEEPS.01/MHX