FNUS73 KPAH 130005 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLEY SPRING...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 705 PM CDT MON MAR 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK...RESULTING IN DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN LATER IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL RETURN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. FLOW IS WEAK SO ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE OF BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL ALONG WITH INCREASED HUMIDITY. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 81. RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2800-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON... DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 54 58 63 67 71 75 77 79 80 79 78 RH..............93 90 79 70 60 53 47 43 41 39 42 44 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 3.8 4.6 5.0 4.7 3.4 1.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W SW SW S S SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...AARON MIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120313.ALLEY.01/PAH