FNUS73 KPAH 131255 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLEY SPRING...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 755 AM CDT TUE MAR 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER TODAY...AND PROVIDE US WITH MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S AND LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. AS THIS HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST ON WEDNESDAY...STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL COMMENCE AND USHER MORE MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. AS THIS MOISTURE SURGES INTO THE REGION...THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND FAR WEST KENTUCKY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS...WE WILL BE IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE WELL INTO THE 70S AND EVEN CLOSE TO 80 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH IS AT LEAST 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ALONG WITH THIS WARMTH WILL COME AN ALMOST DAILY CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2700-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............65 69 72 74 75 76 75 74 RH..............65 55 49 46 45 45 46 50 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............72 68 65 63 62 60 RH..............55 63 73 81 81 84 MIX HGT (FT)....2600 2000 1300 700 300 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 S 17 S 18 S 18 S 17 SW 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................3 PERCENT INCREASING TO 14 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3300 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............59 67 74 78 RH..............90 81 66 56 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 5 SW 6G15 S 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 3100 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 15 SW 16 SW 20 CWR.............0 0 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...AARON MIER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120313.ALLEY.02/PAH