FNUS73 KPAH 140053 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH PRAIRIE...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 753 PM CDT TUE MAR 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN LATER IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL RETURN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. FLOW IS WEAK SO ANY SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE OF BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL ALONG WITH INCREASED HUMIDITY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MIN 56. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 66 63 61 60 58 RH..............58 74 81 86 91 92 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 4 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 200 200 200 100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............57 65 73 76 RH..............96 85 70 60 20 FT WIND......S 4G5 S 6G10 S 8G20 S 10G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 2100 3500 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 SW 14 SW 17 S 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120313.NORTH.01/PAH