FNUS73 KPAH 131249 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF HOLLOW RX...MTNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 749 AM CDT TUE MAR 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER TODAY...AND PROVIDE US WITH MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S AND LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. AS THIS HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST ON WEDNESDAY...STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL COMMENCE AND USHER MORE MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. AS THIS MOISTURE SURGES INTO THE REGION...THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND FAR WEST KENTUCKY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WHEN AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS...WE WILL BE IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE WELL INTO THE 70S AND EVEN CLOSE TO 80 DEGREES IN SOME LOCATIONS...WHICH IS AT LEAST 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ALONG WITH THIS WARMTH WILL COME AN ALMOST DAILY CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. RH..................96 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2200-2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG TEMP............54 58 61 65 68 71 73 74 75 74 73 RH..............96 86 81 73 65 59 55 53 54 55 59 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 9 9 9 10 12 13 14 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-100 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 67 64 62 61 59 RH..............66 75 81 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 3 S 3 S 4 S 3 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 1400 800 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 21 S 23 SW 23 SW 20 SW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79. RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................11 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............58 66 74 78 RH..............93 87 71 62 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 4G5 SW 6G10 S 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1500 2600 2500 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 12 S 15 SW 20 CWR.............10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...YEOMAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120313.WOLFH.01/PAH