FNUS75 KPUB 131006
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TREAT RX...SOUTH ARKANSAS FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
406 AM MDT TUE MAR 13 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO THE BURN AREA
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOW AND WINDS COULD GET A BIT
GUSTY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOONS.  METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS
MAY APPROACH CRITICAL LEVELS AT TIMES ALTHOUGH THE LATEST FUELS
UPDATE FOR FIRE ZONE 220 INDICATES THAT FUELS ARE NOT CRITICAL.

OUTLOOK...

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING DRY AND MILD
CONDITIONS TO THE AREA...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

THIS WEEKEND...THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE AS A STRONG PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE AREA.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW TO THE
HIGH COUNTRY...AND STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES TO THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS.  IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK AS CURRENTLY FORECAST...
THEN FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS COULD BE NEEDED OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 5-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS BAINBRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120313.TREAT.02/PUB