FNUS71 KCTP 141140 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR AREA 420 WSG COMPLEX...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 740 AM EDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA BORDER TODAY WILL BRING ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...WARM TEMPERATURES WITH LOW HUMIDITY... AND A LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE AND MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE OF JUST 25 TO 30 PERCENT WILL CAUSE FINE FUELS TO DRY OUT SIGNIFICANTLY TODAY...AND SLIGHTLY ELEVATE THE CHANCE FOR FIRE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS WILL STAY BELOW THE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................54 61 67 68 RH..................56 44 33 32 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 8 W 10 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............0 0 0 0 0 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................66 57 53 50 48 46 RH..................37 58 69 77 84 93 20 FT WIND..........W 8 SW 3 W 3 W 3 W 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 2 2 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............33 50 55 53 74 74 WEATHER COV......... SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP................45 51 58 65 71 76 RH..................100 83 69 58 50 43 20 FT WIND..........S 3 SE 5 S 5 S 6 S 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........M M M M M M TRANSPORT WIND......M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 1 1 3 3 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.AREA4.01/CTP