FNUS71 KCTP 141318
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 23E...ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
918 AM EDT WED MAR 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE OHIO...PENNSYLVANIA BORDER TODAY
WILL BRING ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...WARM TEMPERATURES WITH LOW HUMIDITY...
AND A LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE.

THE COMBINATION OF THE LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE AND
MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE OF JUST 25 TO 30 PERCENT WILL CAUSE FINE
FUELS TO DRY OUT SIGNIFICANTLY TODAY...AND SLIGHTLY ELEVATE THE
CHANCE FOR FIRE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...CONDITIONS WILL STAY BELOW THE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR
THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58     65     69     69
RH..................48     37     31     31
20 FT WIND..........NW 9   NW 10  W 10   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      0      0      15
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67     59     56     53     50     46
RH..................34     46     56     65     71     81
20 FT WIND..........W 8    W 3    W 2    W 3    W 2    SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............34     49     46     44     56     56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................46     49     56     63     69     73
RH..................93     75     63     54     47     43
20 FT WIND..........S 2    SE 2   SE 3   S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5             10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MARTIN
REQUESTED BY...MR  SHANNON HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120314.RANGE.01/CTP