FNUS73 KDVN 141352
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONSERVATION EDUCATION CENTER...JOHNSON COUNTY CONSERVATION BOARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
852 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG AND UNSEASONABLY WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES AND A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LEE OF THE ROCKIES
WILL PREVAIL OVER IOWA TODAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
BY AFTERNOON UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. TONIGHT...A WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE
AREA WITH DIMINISHING WINDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...AFTERNOON MIN 49 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     72     78     80     78
RH..............73     61     52     49     52
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8    S 11   SW 12  S 12   SW 10
EYE LVL WND GST.12     15     18     18     12
MIX HGT (FT)....1500    2800  5000   5500   2200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16   S 18   SW 22  S 24   SW 18
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID WEHDE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120314.CONSE.04/DVN