FNUS73 KEAX 141156 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR MINE CREEK PATROL MOPUP...MARAIS DES CYGNES NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 656 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR RECORD HIGHS TODAY BUT INCREASING DEWPOINTS WILL KEEP CONDITIONS WELL BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. OF BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WHICH COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 25 MPH AT TIMES THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........81 73 51 47 43 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 72 77 80 80 RH..............77 68 58 53 53 20 FT WIND......S 17 SW 21 SW 22 SW 23 SW 20 20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........39 42 47 50 58 68 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............77 74 71 68 66 65 RH..............58 64 70 76 80 85 20 FT WIND......SW 15 SW 13 SW 12 SW 12 SW 10 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........76 74 70 68 61 52 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............63 67 71 76 78 78 RH..............89 81 72 63 57 57 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 13 S 15 S 16 S 16 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO EAX REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120314.MINEC.01/EAX